Original research article

Impact of changes in heart rate with historic period on all-cause decease and cardiovascular events in fifty-year-onetime men from the general population

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  1. http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1354-5053Xiao-jing Chenone,2,
  2. Salim Bary Barywani3,
  3. Per-Olof Hansson4,
  4. Erik Östgärd Thunström3,
  5. Annika Rosengrenv,
  6. Constantinos Ergatoudes3,
  7. Zacharias Mandalenakis6,
  8. Kenneth Caidahl7 and
  9. Michael Lx Fu3
  1. one Sahlgrenska Academy, University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
  2. 2 Department of Cardiology, Sichuan Academy West China Infirmary, Chengdu, Mainland china
  3. three Department of Cardiology, Sahlgrenska Academy. University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden
  4. four Department of Molecular and Clinical Medicine/ Emergency and Cardiovascular Medicine Cardiology, Sahlgrenska Academy, Gothenburg, Sweden
  5. 5 Sahlgrenska University Hospital Ostra, Goteborg, Sweden
  6. vi Molecular and Clinical Medicine, Goteborgs universitet Sahlgrenska Akademin, Goteborg, Sweden
  7. seven Molecular Medicine and Surgery, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden
  1. Correspondence to Dr Salim Bary Barywani; salim.barywani{at}vgregion.se

Abstruse

Background Resting heart rate (RHR), a known cardiovascular adventure factor, changes with age. Notwithstanding, little is known about the association between changes in RHR and the run a risk of cardiovascular events. The purpose of this written report was therefore to appraise the impact of RHR at baseline, and the alter in RHR over time, on the chance of all-cause death and cardiovascular events.

Design A random population sample of men born in 1943 who were living in Gothenburg, Sweden was prospectively followed for a 21-yr period.

Methods Participants were examined 3 times: showtime in 1993 and then re-examined in 2003 and 2014. At each visit, a clinical examination, an ECG and laboratory analyses were performed. Alter in RHR between 1993 and 2003 was defined as a subtract if RHR decreased past 5 beats per minute (bpm), an increase if RHR increased by 5 bpm or stable if the RHR change was <4bpm).

Results Participants with a baseline RHR of >75 bpm in 1993 had about a twofold higher risk of all-crusade death (60 minutes 2.iii, CI i.2 to 4.7, p=0.018), cardiovascular affliction (CVD) (HR one.8, CI 1.1 to 3.0, p=0.014) and coronary heart disease (CHD) (HR ii.ii, CI i.1 to four.v, p=0.025) compared with those with <55 bpm in 1993. Participants with a stable RHR between 1993 and 2003 had a 44% decreased risk of CVD (Hour 0.56, CI 0.35 to 0.87, p=0.011) compared with participants with an increasing RHR. Furthermore, every shell increment in center charge per unit from 1993 was associated with a 3% higher risk for all-crusade death, 1% higher risk for CVD and 2% higher risk for CHD.

Determination Loftier RHR was associated with an increased take a chance of decease and cardiovascular events in men from the full general population. Moreover, individuals with an increase in RHR betwixt 50 and 60 years of age had worse outcome.

  • resting heart charge per unit
  • all-cause decease
  • cardiovascular events
  • run a risk factor
  • population-based report

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  • resting center rate
  • all-cause expiry
  • cardiovascular events
  • risk cistron
  • population-based study

Key messages

What is already known about this subject?

  • Resting heart rate (RHR) changes with age and is a known cardiovascular risk gene.

What does this study add?

  • Men with a RHR of over 75 beats per minute at l years of age accept twice equally high gamble of all-cause death, cardiovascular disease and coronary heart disease during 21 years of follow-upwards compared with men with RHR of 55 beats per minute or beneath.

  • The RHR at baseline and an increased RHR over time, compared with no modify, are associated with increased risk of cardiovascular events.

How might this impact on clinical practice?

  • This study is clinically relevant in the sense that it tin can exist misleading to use simply a single RHR value to assess cardiovascular gamble over a long period.

  • Our findings demonstrate that both the RHR at baseline and an increase in RHR over fourth dimension, every bit opposed to unchanged, were associated with worse cardiovascular outcome.

Introduction

Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) are still the major cause of premature death in middle-aged populations. Resting heart rate (RHR) is known to be inversely related to average life span in homoeothermic mammals.1 Previous studies have demonstrated an association between elevated RHR and increased incident of CVDs and both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the full general population.ii–17 Sharashova et al reported an contained positive association betwixt RHR and the gamble of incident myocardial infarction, atrial fibrillation and both full expiry and cardiovascular death in men from a general population in Norway.2 Moreover, Aune et al observed a positive association between RHR and risk of CVD and all-crusade bloodshed.3 Withal, in a meta-analysis, Zhang and coworkers showed that RHR was an independent predictor of coronary artery disease, stroke, sudden death and non-CVDs over all of the studies combined; however, when the analyses included simply studies of full general populations, RHR was not associated with sudden decease.5 The gamble for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality begins to increase in middle age18 and in the meantime RHR changes with age. Moreover, the impact of the incremental alter in RHR on incident cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in middle-aged general populations has not been adequately studied. Therefore, the present study aimed to investigate the touch on of RHR at baseline and the modify in RHR over time on the risk of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in a eye-aged general population.

Methods

Study population

'The study of Men Built-in in 1943' is a longitudinal, prospective, population-based study of men built-in in 1943 and living in the metropolis of Gothenburg in western Sweden at the age of fifty years19. From the Swedish Population Register, a random sample of 50% of all men born in 1943 and living in Gothenburg received an invitation to attend the report in 1993 (n=1450). Of those invited, 798 (55%) accepted to participate in the investigation that included questionnaires and concrete examination procedures. At the second exam in 2003, 749 of the 798 men who were still live were invited; of these, 654 (82%) accustomed to be re-examined. In the 3rd test in 2014, 536 of 688 men nevertheless alive (78%) attended this examination. The aforementioned methodology was used in all three examinations. The report complies with the Declaration of Helsinki. The Gothenburg Regional Research Ideals Board canonical the study and informed consent has been obtained from the participants. The study is registered in Clinical Trials.gov (Identifier number: NCT03138122).

Information drove

At the baseline examination and at each re-exam, medical history of each participant was obtained and a physical examination was performed. In the 2014 visit, all study participants as well underwent an echocardiography exam. Fasting venous blood samples were drawn in the morning and plasma levels of total serum cholesterol, triglycerides, Creatinine, high-density lipoprotein, N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-pro-BNP) and interleukin 6 were analysed using standard laboratory procedures. Blood pressure was recorded in the correct arm in the sitting position by a mercury sphygmomanometer. Torso mass index (BMI) was calculated equally weight (kg) divided by height squared (grand2). Before the examination, all participants had completed questionnaires addressing their smoking habits, physical activity and family history of CVD, previous diseases and mental stress. Information on smoking habits was obtained past questionnaire. Participants were classified as never smokers, previous smokers or current smokers. Physical activity during leisure fourth dimension was introduced at each examination and graded equally follows: (1) mainly sedentary, (ii) moderate practise during leisure time, (3) regular exercise and training, (iv) hard exercise or competitive sports. For analysis, grades 2, 3 and four were combined and form 1 was defined equally a sedentary lifestyle. Mental stress, with six response options, was divers equally feeling tense, irritable or filled with feet or having sleeping difficulties as a effect of conditions at work or at home: (one) never experienced stress, (2) one period of stress ever, (3) some periods in the by 5 years, (4) repeated periods during the by v years, (5) permanent stress during the past yr and (6) permanent stress during the past five years, with 5 to 6 defined as mental stress.

Measurement of resting eye rate and group nomenclature

Eye rate was measured by 12-lead ECG in the supine position in 1993, 2003 and 2014. Newspaper speed was 50 mm/s and calibration was 1 mV:10 mm. In 1993 and 2003, all ECGs were evaluated by i of the coauthors (POH); in 2014, the ECGs were evaluated by one of five physicians. When evaluating the ECGs, the physician was blinded to the clinical information. The study sample was divided into four groups according to their RHR in 1993: group 1: RHR<55 beats per minute (bpm), group 2: RHR 56–65 bpm, group iii: RHR 66–75 bpm and group iv: RHR>75 bpm.

The change in RHR from 1993 to 2003 (ΔHR) was defined as RHR in 2003 minus RHR in 1993. Nosotros then separated the cohort into three subgroups according to ΔHR in the x-year follow-up: (1) decreased RHR: ΔHR≤−5 bpm, (ii) stable RHR: −5 bpm<ΔHR<v bpm and (3) increased RHR: ΔHR≥v bpm. These subgroups were compared for the outcome variables: all-cause mortality, cardiovascular affliction (CVD)and coronary heart affliction (CHD).

Follow-upwards procedures and endpoints

Participants were followed from i January 1993 to 31 August 2014. Outcome and clinical data were nerveless by reviewing medical charts, the Swedish Hospital Belch Registry and the Swedish Expiry Registry for all participants from 1993 to 2014. 3 major endpoints were applied in this study: CVD, CHD and all-cause mortality. The criteria used to define a CVD event were the time to commencement occurrence of myocardial infarction, eye failure, death resulting from CHD (410-414; I20-21), stroke, intermittent claudication, other cardiovascular deaths and revascularisation procedures. A history of CHD without hospitalisation or revascularisation did not meet our definition of CVD. CHD was defined as the first occurrence of myocardial infarction, coronary artery revascularisation and decease resulting from CHD (410-414; I20-21). All endpoints were reviewed by one of five physicians.

Statistical analysis

Baseline demographic and clinical characteristics were stratified by heart rate at baseline (table one) and according to different groups of heart rate modify during follow-up (table 2). Descriptive statistics with normal distribution are presented as the hateful value±SD and compared using 1-way assay of variance. Crude incidence rates were expressed equally event rates, calculated as the number of events divided past the sum of follow-upward years per 1000 person-years. The categorical variables were presented as unproblematic frequencies and percentages and compared using Pearson'due south χ² exam. All fourth dimension-to-event regression analyses were based on Cox proportional hazards models. The association betwixt the RHR and outcome was tested in models including baseline RHR every bit a chiselled variable with aligning for the other run a risk factors at baseline: BMI, systolic claret force per unit area, smoking, mental stress, sedentary lifestyle, NT-pro-BNP and estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate (eGFR). HRs were calculated comparing the three higher groups of the RHR with the everyman, with 95% CIs and p values. Like models were fitted with RHR in 1993 and 2003 as a continuous variable in each instance; the HRs and 95%CIs were calculated for each bpm increase in RHR. Similar models were used to determine the association between outcome and change in RHR during the commencement x years of follow-upwardly. Individuals with stable and decreased RHR were compared with individuals with increased RHR. Time-to-upshot curves were presented by groups of the baseline RHR distribution, estimated with the Kaplan-Meier method and compared with a log-rank examination.

Tabular array 1

Baseline characteristics (1993) by heart rate groups

Table ii

Baseline characteristics (1993) according to different patterns of heart rate change over time

All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS 22 statistical software (SPSS, Chicago, Illinois, United states). Two-tailed tests of significance were performed for all comparisons, and the p value was ready at p<0.05.

Results

Baseline characteristics in 1993

Participants in the college RHR subgroups (55≦Hour<65, 65≦Hr<75 and HR≧75) were more than likely to be current smokers, had more oft a sedentary lifestyle and mental stress, higher BMI, wider waist circumference, higher systolic and diastolic blood force per unit area and were more than probable to have a medical history of hypertension, hyperlipidaemia and diabetes than participants in the lower RHR subgroup (HR<55) (tabular array one). Baseline characteristics co-ordinate to different groups of RHR change are presented in table 2.

Tendency of the resting centre rate from 1993 to 2014

The average RHR decreased from 67±12 bpm in 1993 to 61±ten bpm in 2003 and remained unchanged in 2014. Participants with RHR<55 bpm were almost twice as many in 2003 (29.2%) and 2014 (26.3%) compared with 1993 (xiii.7%). In dissimilarity, participants with RHR>75 bpm were significantly fewer in 2003 (11.2%) and 2014 (11.2%) compared with 1993 (24.ane%) (figure i).

The relationship betwixt baseline middle rate in 1993 and the outcome

Of the 798 male person participants included in the assay, 119 (14.ix%) died before the age of 71 years; 237 (29.7%) participants experienced CVD and 113 (fourteen.ii%) experienced CHD during a follow-upward of 21 years. When the population was divided into subgroups based on the 1993 RHR, the incidence of all-cause decease, CVD and CHD were highest in participants with high RHR (table iii, figure 2) RHR was too analysed as a continuous variable at two periods: for 21 years from 1993 to 2014 and during 11 years from 2003 to 2014 (figure 3). We constitute that every increase in trounce in RHR from 1993 was associated with a 3% college risk for all-cause decease (HR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.04, p<0.001), a 1% higher run a risk for CVD (HR 1.01, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.02, p=0.027) and a 2% college take a chance for CHD (60 minutes i.02, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.04, p=0.008). Moreover, a tendency that college RHR from 1993 increased the adventure of all-cause death, CVD and CHD was observed, whereas the higher RHR from 2003 increased only the take a chance of all-cause death.

Figure 3

Effigy iii

Adventure for cardiovascular disease and all-crusade decease according to RHR: (A) as categorical variable (Hr≥75 bpm vs HR<75 bpm) and (B) equally a continuous variable in 21 years 1993–2014 and xi years 2003–2014. CVD, cardiovascular illness; CHD, coronary centre affliction; RHR, resting heart rate.

Table iii

Outcome data according to resting heart charge per unit subgroups, 1993

Men with the highest RHR (>75 bpm) in 1993 had a more than twofold increased take chances of all-crusade decease compared with those with <55 bpm in 1993 (HR 2.34, 95% CI 1.16 to 4.74, p=0.018) in the adjusted Cox regression models. Similar results were constitute for CVD (HR 1.82, 95% CI one.thirteen to ii.95, p=0.014) and CHD (HR 2.24, 95% CI 1.11 to 4.54, p=0.025) (table 4).

Table 4

Bear on of the change in resting heart charge per unit 1993 to 2003 on outcome

Impact of the changes in the resting heart rate on effect

Of the 654 men who participated in the 2003 examination, 111 had increased RHR (increased >5 bpm) since 1993, 205 with a relatively unchanged RHR since 1993 and 338 had a decreased RHR (decreased <5 bpm).

Cox proportional hazard models showed that individuals with a stable RHR from 1993 to 2003 had a 44% lower take a chance of CVD (Hour 0.56, 95% CI 0.35 to 0.87, p=0.011) compared with those with increased RHR. Moreover, individuals with decreased RHR appeared to have a lower take a chance of CVD than those with increased RHR though the run a risk was not statistically meaning. There was likewise a non-pregnant trend towards higher all-crusade bloodshed in the participants with increased RHR compared with those with unchanged or decreased RHR (table 4, effigy 4).

Discussion

In a randomly selected sample of men built-in in 1943 in Gothenburg from the general population, we found that baseline RHR was an contained risk factor of all-cause death, CVD and CHD during a 21-year follow-upward, and that increased RHR betwixt 50 and 60 years of age was associated with an increased chance of CVD compared with individuals with stable RHR.

Our study is unique in this regard because the follow-upward was 21 years with three split up exam occasions allowing united states for the first time to decide the relevance of the alter in RHR over fourth dimension. Our finding that increased RHR was related to an increased risk of CVD is specially noteworthy given that RHR may alter during the life form. For the beginning time, our results demonstrate an association between the mode of RHR modify and outcome. Despite a relatively lower baseline RHR (59±ten), individuals with increasing RHR during follow-up had the worst effect compared with those with a stable RHR. This finding is clinically relevant in that it highlights that information technology may exist misleading to employ only a single RHR value to assess the risk over long periods, as is the case in the Tromsø report.ii Both the follow-up duration and change in RHR are important factors.

Possible mechanisms

RHR may affect the event through various mechanisms. High RHR could increase haemodynamic stress and shorten the diastolic phase, which could increase mechanical load, shear stress, blood pressure and cardiac work, thereby increasing oxygen consumption. These effects could cause coronary atherosclerosis and myocardial ischaemia.20–22 High RHR is besides a mark of sympathetic overactivity, which is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular events.23–25 Sympathetic overactivity may also confer an increased run a risk of obesity that could induce insulin resistance, higher levels of uric acrid, lipid abnormalities and hypertension.20 These adverse events associated with sympathetic overactivity may therefore account for the observed association between loftier RHR and increased chance of both cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular events. One main business organisation lies in whether a loftier RHR is an contained predictor given that higher heart rates coexist with traditional hazard factors of cardiovascular disease and poor health status.sixteen 26–29 However, the present results were adjusted for conventional hazard factors.

Strengths and limitations

The strengths of this study were the randomly selected cohort from the general population, the prospective long longitudinal (21-year follow-up) design and the repeated heart charge per unit measurement after 10 years. Moreover, we had a loftier attendance rate and information on a number of cardiovascular risk factors, which allowed us to adjust the regression models for these factors. The limitations were: (1) only men were included, (2) the participants' age may accept caused age itself to exist a strong competing run a risk gene, (three) and the relatively low uptake.

Conclusion

In this report of men followed betwixt l and 71 years of age, our findings demonstrate that both the RHR>75 beat per infinitesimal at baseline and an increase in RHR over time compared with unchanged RHR had worse cardiovascular outcome.

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